Abstract:
Decision makers who are leading the states are also responsible for s shape of international policy. This is why its so important to understand how those so important decisions are created. Cultural forecasting was designed to predict human decision making process due to subconsciousness codes of perception, behaviour and thinking common for people rise in the same cultural circle. The effectivenes statisticly is apx. 80-90% in prediction content of decisions making by decision makers at the international level. The presentation was dedicated to present how this method works and how it could be used to predict threats for international and national security.
CURRICULUM VITAE
CAREER/COURSES
education
1) 2009-2012 - National Defense University
National Security Department – doctoral studies
PhD dissertation title: Formation of military security of the People's Republic of China
(PhD in security science)
The PhD degree was awarded on 29th January 2013.
2) 2012.09-2012.10 - General Tadeusz Kościuszko Military Academy of Land Forces
Course for future reserve personell officers ending with an exam for first polish officer degree
3) 2008.04.06. - Land Forces Training Center in Poznań and Driving Training Center no 1 in Grudziądz
Three months team commanders military training for graduate of high level studies - granting the degree terminated NCO corporal and return to the reserve personnel
4) 2002 – 2007 - University of Białystok
- Law Department, Specialization: International Public Law – level of M.A. studies
experience
2017.10.26 – until today – Veteran Association UN, support member
2017.10.03 – until today – Association “Research Powermetric Network” member
2017.09.22 – until today – Polish Association of Security Sciences (pol. Polskie Stowarzyszenie Nauk o Bezpieczeństwie), member
2017.01.02 – until today – Miltiary University of Technology, International Cooperation Department
2015.07.01-until today – Condiucting training for officers of polish military forces on behalf of the CDKO, War Studies University in Warsaw, POLAND: Cultural Intelligence Indicators Guide.
2014.07-2014.10 - Participation in Taiwan Fellowship Program – Research Subject: Soft power as a part of Chinese psychological operations - research financing by the Republic of China (Taiwan)
2012-2013 - Research Project Manager: Cultural reconnaissance in the planning process of military psychological operations – research financing by National Defense University in Warsaw - (code: III.1.2.0)
2012.09.10-2012.10.31 – Officer course in the General Tadeusz Kościuszko Military Academy of Land Forces
2011.11.01 – until today - Związek Strzelecki “STRZELEC” Organizacja Społeczno-Wychowawcza
2010.02.17-2013.30.06 - National Defense University
National Security Department
Lector of following subjects: Theories and Models of Military Security, Military Security, Base of Air Law, International Law of security and peace
2010.02.01 – 2014 – Stanislaw Staszic College of Public Administration
National Security Institute
Lector of following subjects: Theory of Security, National Security Systems, Security Strategy, National Security Strategy, International military relations, Theory of state and law, Law of peace and security, Memory Techniques, Military Information Operations, Psychology of threats
2009.04. - Conducting an anti-corruption course for Białystok’s Municipal Police
2008.10.01-2009.10.01 - Administrative function in the Security College structure:
Administrative and didactic function in the Security College in Poznań: Deanery of Social Security Department; from 2008.11.01. to 2009.02.01 Section of Administration and Bookkeeping in Rector’s Office; from 2009.02.01 to 2009.04.01 in WSB Post Office; from 2009.05.01 to 2009.10.01 in Bureau of Recruitment and Continuing Education – Section of Postgraduates Studies and Trainings (including administration of BHP training documentation and writing application for grants from the European Social Fund and so. Norway Funds.
Lector of following subjects: Politic law and education law, Law problems of security, Security strategy, Public Security Institutions, Collecting and processing of archival materials.
LANGUAGES
English: communicative
Polish: mother tongue
SPEECH AT THE CONFERENCE
Speech at the subject: Boarded Information Protection during the symposium: „State board and public security” Białystok 21.05.2010 r., POLAND
Speech at the subject: Military Information Operations of the PRC during the scientific session „Special forces and threats for national security”, Dziwnow 25.08.2012, POLAND
Speech at the subject: Security Policy of the PRC during the III International Scientific Conference, Warsaw, 22-23.11.2012, POLAND
Speech at the subject: The geopolitical importance of the Baltic Region from polish perspective, during the International Expert Conference, Tartu 11-12.06.2013, ESTONIA
Speech at the subject: Subconscious influence in a rehabilitation process of prisoners during the Scientific-Expert Conference „Education for national security as an element of national security system”, Lomza 24.10.2013, POLAND
Speech at the subject: Proposition of new procedure of the PSYOP cultural reconnaissance on the modern battlefield, during International Scientific Conference of the International Society of Military Sciences, 13-14.11.2013 Copenhagen, DENMARK
Speech at the subject: Chinese „soft power” as a ex ample of psychological operations aimed at expanding and strengthens PRC economic area of influence in Europe during the II International Scientific Conference, Zakopane 04-06.12.2013, POLAND
Speech at the subject: The role of the PSYOP on the modern battlefield during the Nationwide Scientific Conference, Białystok 14.03.2014, POLAND
Speech at the subject: Mass Media in psychological operations: Ukrainian casus during the International Scientific Conference “Constructing Europe and spread of European values”, Kaunas 8-9.05.2014, LITHUANIA
Speech at the subject: Mass media in the Russian PSYOP in Poland and Baltic States during the BALTDEFCOL Conference on European Security, Tartu 10.06.2014, ESTONIA
Speech at the subject: Russian propaganda during the Ukrainian conflict, National Cheng Chi University, Taipei, 15.09.2014, TAIWAN
Speech at the subject: Military Psychological Operations and Human Rights in the combat zone during the International Science Conference of Young Scientists and Researchers "The state sovereignty and the people's sovereignty in modern conditions" (VII TODYKA'S READINGS), Kharkov, 26-27.09.2014, UKRAINE
Speech at the subject: Soft power as a Part of Chinese Psychological Operations, The Seasonal Presentations of MOFA Taiwan Fellowship Scholars, Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Taipei, 03.10.2014, TAIWAN
Speech at the subject: Proposal of the new PSYOP methodology, National Defense University, Taipei, 28.10.2014, TAIWAN
Withdrawal as an expert in the international debate in Kharkiv Palace Premier Hotel with the participation of the media: Information war and information security. Propaganda and new media, 05.19.2015, Kharkiv, UKRAINE
Speech at the subject: Law conditions and military psychological operations doctrine during the conference: National and international security and the challenges to the modern world, The War and Armed Conflict – Dilemmas and Challenges, National Defense University, Warsaw 29.05.2015, POLAND.
Common speech with prof. T. Szczurek: Mass media and Social media in a Hybrid war as illustrated by the conflict in Ukraine of 2014-2015, during the conference ISMS 2015, Finish National Defence University, Helsinki 13-15.10.2015, FINLAND.
Common speech with prof. T. Szczurek: Mass media and social media in a hybrid war as illustrated by the conflict in Ukraine of 2014-2015 during the international Visegrad workshop: Information Security as a part of National Security in Eastern Europe, Yaroslav Mudryi National Law University, Kharkiv 19-20.02.2016, UKRAINE.
Common speech with prof. T. Szczurek:: The threat of terrorism using biological agents during the conference: Human being problems in the social, humanitarian and medical discourse, Interuniversity Scientific Conference, Kharkiv National Medical University, Kharkiv 31.03.2016, UKRAINE.
Common speech with prof. T. Szczurek: Forecasting of East Asia regional security by 2030: cultural forecasting as a new methodology of predictions trends and changes during the military international conference, National Defence University, Taipei 04-05.07.2017, TAIWAN.
Common speech with prof. T. Szczurek: Forecasting in international relations: analysis of the conscious and unconscious cultural codes in decision-making process of policy makers during the Global South Caucas of the International Studies Association, Havana 6-8.07.2017, CUBA.
Common speech with prof. T. Szczurek: The role of electronic media data base in cultural forecasting for future threats: new forecasting methodology during the information era during the OSCE Kharkiv International Legal Forum: Law and Sustainable Development in a Globalized World, Key speaker in the Round Table Discussion: “Cyber Security: New Challegnes of Global Geopolitical Changes”, Kharkiv 3-6.10.2017, UKRAINE.
Common speech with prof. T. Szczurek: Predicting international relations by the cultural forecasting model: East Asia regional security, Taipei, 22.12.2017, TAIWAN.
SELECTED PUBLications
Occupation and what next – Iraq casus, M. Gornikiewicz, Scientific Books WSAP. 2/6/2005, p. 108-111.
Education in Poland for internal security in 2009/2010 – Basic on the project of new core curriculum for polish educational system in school year 2009/2010, M. Górnikiewicz [in] Education’s risks and challenges of new young generation, ed. A. Czajkowska and W. Otwinowski, print by Security College, Poznań 2009, p. 55-66.
Education in schools for RP national security – Basic on the traditional values, M. Górnikiewicz [in] Educational threats and challenges for young generation, ed. A. Czajkowska and W. Otwinowski, print by Security College, Poznań 2008, p. 64-69
Protection of intellectual property in WPIO meaning as an element of state’s economic security [in] Poles Intellectual Security ed. M. Gawrońska-Garstka, print by Sacurity College, Poznań 2009, p. 317-328.
Internet as a New recruiting tool to terrorist groups, M. Górnikiewicz [in] Cyberterrorism – new challenges in XXI century, ed. T. Jemioła, J. Kisielnicki, K. Rajchel, print by WSIZA, Warsaw 2009, p. 360-371.
Threat of Polish internal security in context of criminal activity of selected Motorcycle Clubs, M. Górnikiewicz [in] Security – World, Region, Poland, no. 1/2011, print by WSAP, Białystok 2011, p. 173-183.
Border Crime as a one of form of activity of Chinese criminal groups, M. Górnikiewicz [in] The Republic of Poland border security, ed. A. Konopka and G. Sobolewski, print by WSAP, Białystok 2011.
Perspective for Sino-American war in XXI century –basic on the PLA’s security cultural conditions, M. Górnikiewicz [in] Security – World, Region, Poland, no. 2/2011, print by WSAP, Białystok 2011.
People’s Republic of China as a one of a global security component in the second decade of XXI century, M. Górnikiewicz [in] Security in a globalizing world, law and practice , print by WSAP, Szczecin 2012.
Cultural reconnaissance in psychological operations. Management of psychological operations on the modern battlefield, M. Górnikiewicz [in] Crisis and management – theory and practice, no. 48, print by WSA, Łomza 2012.
Security cooperation between Poland and the Baltic Region [in] Baltic Security and Defence Review, M. Górnikiewicz, Z. Śliwa, vol. 15 issue 2, print by Baltic Defence College, Tartu 2013, pp. 146-169.
Chinese psychological operations, M. Górnikiewicz [in] ed. M. Borkowski, M. Stańczyk-Minkiewicz, I. Ziemkiewicz-Gawlik, Education for security, Challenges and threats in XXI century. Military and non-military aspects, print by WSB, Poznań 2013, pp. 29-45.
Cultural anthropology in prognosing military and non-military threats – military conflicts, terrorism or partnership?, M. Górnikiewicz [in:] Security – World, Region, Poland, no. 3/2013, print by WSAP, Białystok 2013.
The Geopolitical Importance of the Baltic Region from Polish Perspective, M. Górnikiewicz, Z. Śliwa [in:] Security – World, Region, Poland, no. 3/2013, print by WSAP, Białystok 2013.
Chinese “soft power” as an example of psychological operations in expansion and strengthening of economic area of influence of PRC in Europe, M. Górnikiewicz [in:] ed. A. Gałecki, A. Kurkiewicz, S. Mikołajczak, Paradigms of the security study, printed by WSB, Poznań 2014, pp. 243-257.
Mass media in psychological operations – Ukrainian Case, M. Górnikiewicz [in:] ed. L. Mazylis, Constructing Europe and spread of European Values, print by Vytautas Magnus University, Kowno 2014, pp. 61-73.
Evolution of the US PSYOP products’ effectiveness during Vietnam War 1965-1969, M. Górnikiewicz [in] Security and Defence Quarterly no. 2, 2014, print by National Defence University in Warszawa 2014.
Military Psychological Operations and Human Rights in the combat zone, M. Górnikiewicz [in:] "The state sovereignty and the people's sovereignty in modern conditions" (VII TODYKA'S READINGS), print by Ministry of Education and Science of Ukraine 2014, pp. 213.
Chinese Propaganda Falls Short, M. Gornikiewicz [in:] Taiwan Brain Trust. Newsletter No. 26, 2014 September, print by Taiwan Brain Trust, Taiwan 2014 pp. 17-18.
The threat of terrorism using biological agents, T. Szczurek, M. Górnikiewicz [in:] Monography by Kharkiv National Medical University, Philosophy and Sociology Department, pp. 11-18.
Mass media in psychological operations – Ukrainian case, M. Górnikiewicz, [in:] Constructing and the spread Europe an values, Lithuania 2014.
Mass media and social media in a hybrid war as illustrated by the conflict in Ukraine of 2014-2015, T. Szczurek, M. Górnikiewicz [in:] Information security as a part of national security in Eastern Europe, Visegrad Fund, Kharkiv 2016.
The selected ASEAN nations' military capabilities facing the South Chine disputes, Z. Śliwa, M. Górnikiewicz [in:] Defence Review, The Central Journal of Hungarian Defence Forces, Hungarian Defence Forces Defence Staff, Hungary 2017.
BOOKS
Modelowanie bezpieczeństwa militarnego Chińskiej Republiki Ludowej, Prognoza przeciwdziałania zagrożeniom militarnym, M. Górnikiewicz, PRYMAT, Białystok 2017. (eng. Modeling of military security of the People’s Republic of China: Forecasting of military threats).
Mass Media in the Russian PSYOP in Poland and Baltic States, M. Górnikiewicz, P. Bell, T. Szczurek, Lambert Academic Publishing 2017.
Social Media Wars: The R-Evolution Has Just Begun, M. Górnikiewicz, T. Szczurek, Military University of Technology, Warsaw 2018.
AREAS OF interest
Psychological warfare and psychological operations, propaganda issues, soft power
Internal and International security of the People’s Republic of China
Methodology of subconsciousness influence
Mass media/social media in psychological operations/propaganda operations
Artificial intelligence
International relations forecasting
AWARDS
1) 2011.10.01-2012.08.01 – Scholarship holder of scholarship for the best doctoral granting by Rector of National Defense University in Warsaw